All right, this better be the last one. Because surely the Kansas City Chiefs will not be in the Super Bowl four years in a row. Right? This Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles compete for Super Bowl LIX. The Chiefs are the defending champions and have won the past two years. They beat the Eagles in the 2023 Super Bowl to begin their dynasty.
If the Chiefs win, they become the first team in NFL history to win three consecutive Super Bowls, solidifying them as one of the greatest football teams ever assembled. If the Eagles win, many of our friends from Philly get bragging rights. So, pretty high stakes! Here are the fictional Sportsbook picks that could make your Super Bowl weekend even better.
Coin Toss Winner
The refs love the Chiefs. The Chiefs are winning the coin toss. How is this even a question? They won the coin toss in both Super Bowls LVII and LVIII. It doesn’t matter if they’re practicing magic, if it’s a weighted coin, or if they’re just absurdly lucky. They won it two years in a row, and we think they are winning it again. Of course, if we’re wrong, it’s your fault for listening. But come on, they won the coin toss for LVII and LVIII! The league isn’t even trying to hide their favoritism for the Chiefs. Ridiculous.
Chiefs: -500
Eagles: +500
Most Penalties
Looking at penalty calls across the Chiefs’ three Super Bowl runs, it is clear that they must have the world’s most extensive blackmail folder on the NFL and its officials. Since 2021, the Chiefs’ opponents have committed 57 accepted penalties, while Kansas City has had just 27 accepted penalties (and eight declined).
Chiefs: -200
Eagles: +1000
The Chiefs have been flagged less than 10 times in their last 11 playoff games, while 10 of their opponents have been flagged at least 10 times per game. This season alone, the Chiefs have had enough officiating controversies to fill a small novel, ranging from defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo calling an illegal timeout in Week 1 to a phantom pass interference call against the Texans during Week 16. It’s unclear whether the NFL is trying to help the Chiefs win or if they are just that good. Either way, the Eagles will be awarded more penalties during Super Bowl LIX.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Who do we think will definitely score a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX? Probably the guy who scored 15 touchdowns during the regular season, is one of the finalists for the league’s Offensive Player of the Year Award and MVP, and is now playing in his first Super Bowl with a chance to topple one of the NFL’s greatest dynasties. Saquon Barkley, don’t let us down.
Saquon Barkley -650
Most Passing Touchdowns
Jalen Hurts is a two-time All-Star and has received one All-Pro Honor. He is an outstanding QB. Unfortunately for Hurts, he’s playing against Patrick Mahomes. Hurts is more of a running QB overall, and on top of being a generational talent, Mahomes has thrown eight more TDs than him this season, while playing with a phenomenal Kansas City defense. We expect those trends to continue into the Super Bowl. At the end of the day, Mahomes is just one of those generational players where, seemingly, nothing else matters, so we’re picking him all the way.
Patrick Mahomes -400
Jalen Hurts +400
Taylor Swift Screen Time (O/U)
Last season, Taylor Swift took up about 0.46% of screen time each game. This season, the average length of a regular-season football game is about 3 hours and twelve minutes, with 25% of that being commercials. Given Swift’s purported on-screen percentage and accounting for 48 minutes of commercials, we can estimate that she’s shown for 40 seconds during an average regular season football game.
The average length of a Super Bowl (halftime included) is three hours and thirty minutes, so assuming a similar 0.46% figure, Swift would be in the spotlight for 43 seconds. Here’s where things get exciting: during the Chiefs/Texans NFL Divisional Round game on Jan. 18, 2025, Swift’s numbers dropped to 0.32% for 35 seconds across six appearances.
Despite the drop compared to her regular season numbers, that is a 40% increase over last year, when Swift was shown for 25 seconds during the Chiefs/Bills NFL Divisional Round game. During the 2024 Super Bowl, Swift’s numbers increased compared to the rest of the playoffs by 116%—she was on screen for 54 seconds and shown 12 different times. Our best prediction comes from taking her 2024-2025 playoff stats and increasing them by about 116%, bringing us to a total of 75.6 (76) seconds shown.
During the 2025 NFL Divisional Round game against the Texans, Swift was shown six times, for an average of 5.8 seconds per appearance. Between the 2024 NFL Divisional Round game and the Super Bowl LVIII, her appearances increased threefold, and her seconds-per-showing decreased by about 30%. If we apply that to 2025, we estimate that Taylor Swift will be shown 18 times, 4.2 seconds per showing, for 76 seconds on screen.
Full Line (18 times, 4.2 seconds per, 76 seconds total), -250
Anything else, +150
Super Bowl Winner
The only thing we have given the Eagles is that Saquon Barkley will probably score a touchdown during the game. The Chiefs are likely to win this Sunday, becoming the first team in history to three-peat and making a serious case to be the greatest football team ever. The Eagles have the talent to pull off an upset, but we think it’s unlikely the Chiefs will choke here.
Kansas City Chiefs, -250
Philadelphia Eagles, +400
Jordan Wasserberger ’27 (jwasserberger@college.harvard.edu) will jump into the Charles immediately if he gets all these right.
I’m repasting what you have into the layout -Christie